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A Realistic Evaluation Of Forex Trader John Templeton's Trading In The Buff Foreign Exchange Program
John Templeton, who has been an investor in forex day trading for more than five years and who is the originator of the Trading in the Buff forex signal system, soon discovered that all the complicated systems that traders use to pick a winning forex trade were only muddying the field for him. "I was basically just an inanimate object waiting for haphazard lines to cross, signaling me that I should open or close a trade. Then it dawned on me. How in the world could I make a profit trading currency exchange, if I don't even apprehend what I am looking at?"
This is when John arranged to take the bull by the horns and to figure things out for himself. No more buying into this or that forex system theory. He started by heeding what all the experienced traders had to say on the topic. And more than any other slogan that came out of their mouths was the phrase "price action." John was so appalled at himself that he could have kicked himself. "It was so obvious, I couldn't believe it."
When it comes to trading the foreign currency market, John realized that the trader has to make a decision between one of two ways to examine the trade: either by using fundamental analysis or using technical analysis. Fundamental analysis takes into consideration all the psychological fundamentals that can influence a currency's tendency in the market. Things like the impact that the non-farm payroll numbers which are released once a month can influence the market, or how raising or lowering interest rates can impact a given currency pair.
When it comes to using technical analysis, this breed of trader thinks that opening up the indicator menu on their charting platform will somehow reveal to them which currency pairs to trade based on how the indicators read. From John's point of view these traders seem to think that -- rather than knowing price movement -- paying attention to charts full with lagging indicators such as RSI, MACD, and stochastics will steer them to the right trade to enter. After surviving years of losing trades following this same formula, John is convinced that following this path is a losing cause.
The one technical indicator that most unsuccessful present day traders don't use is price action. They're all expecting all their other indicators to fall in line. For this kind of trader, the only significant thing is what his static indicators are showing him, and price becomes secondary or even irrelevant. The only thing wrong with using lagging indicators the same as these is that they do not furnish the trader a clear vision of what the market is actually doing during a given trading period.
When, for instance, you teach yourself to begin looking at price support and resistance levels, you are being shown actual statistics which are having an impact on the direction of the market. No lagging indicator will ever give you that kind of indication which will be supported for very long. You have to be able to see it directly from the market itself. This is what John is attempting to hammer home in his currency trading program Trading in the Buff.
The name of his method references the removing of indicator based strategies and returning to fundamental price action indicators. Put another way, trading in the buff, without using the theoretical indicator window dressing that many traders are taught to base their trading habits on. The theories sound good, but they don't always work.
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